Original Investigation

EMPEROR-Preserved Risk Model and Outcomes in the FINEARTS-HF Trial

JAMA Cardiology 10.1001/jamacardio.2026.1049

March 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT

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Does the EMPEROR-Preserved prognostic model accurately stratify risk in patients with heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction enrolled in the FINEARTS-HF trial, and does baseline risk modify the treatment effect of finerenone?In this secondary analysis of 6001 patients from the FINEARTS-HF trial, the risk model showed good discrimination and generally preserved calibration across mortality. The relative treatment effect of finerenone was consistent across all risk categories, while absolute risk reductions were greater among patients at higher baseline risk.In this study, the EMPEROR-Preserved risk model provided a practical framework for risk stratification and estimation of absolute treatment benefit in patients with heart failure and mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction and may support patient selection and enrichment in future clinical trials.

Corresponding Author: John J. V. McMurray, MD, Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, 126 University Pl, Glasgow, G12 8TA, United Kingdom (john.mcmurray@glasgow.ac.uk).

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