Original Investigation

Digital Sleep-Wake Cycle Metrics and Dementia Prediction in Older Adults

JAMA Neurology 10.1001/jamaneurol.2026.1232

May 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT

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Are sleep-wake cycle metrics associated with incident dementia, and do they contribute to dementia prediction?In this cohort study of 53 448 UK Biobank participants, 9 accelerometer-derived metrics of daytime activity, sleep, and chronotype predicted dementia and were combined into 2 components. Both components were associated with higher dementia risk and made a modest but statistically significant contribution to dementia prediction, equivalent to that of genotype; results were confirmed in the validation cohort.Results show that sleep-wake cycle metrics may be important for dementia; future studies should evaluate their clinical utility as scalable, early markers alongside established predictors for dementia risk.

Corresponding Author: Séverine Sabia, PhD, Université Paris Cité, Centre for Research in Epidemiology and Statistics, Inserm 1153, 10 Avenue de Verdun, 75010 Paris, France (severine.sabia@inserm.fr).

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